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Market kya lagta hain – Friday, December 15th 2023# GIFT Nifty (+66, 21420)# Christmas comes early at Wall Street after the Fed indicated that it could begin easing interest-rate policy in 2024.…# Expect Nifty to jump out of gate indicating fresh uncharted territory for benchmark Nifty with aggressive interweek targets at 21,500 mark..# The Nifty options data suggests Nifty is likely to be in a trading range of 20500-21500 zone. Maximum Call OI is at 21200 followed by 21400 strike prices. So, the 21400 mark will be Nifty’s crucial resistance zone. Maximum Put open interest stands at 21100 levels followed by 21000 levels. Call writing was seen at 21200 and then at 21400 strike price, while there was meaningful Put writing at 21100 and then at 21000 strike prices.# The Volatility index is hovering at 12.06 level.#Nifty’s Put-Call Open Interest Ratio is at 1.41.# The 7-Good News this Friday Morning that should help Nifty retain its bullish bid tone:1) Dovish Federal Reserve hinting they could begin easing interest-rate policy in 2024.2) Dow Jones at a record close spurring global stock market rally.3) FIIs in buying spree as so far in the month of December have brought to the tune of Rs 20,494 crores.4) Sluggish oil prices at $72 a barrel.5) Cooling US CPI.6) Tumbling US Treasury bond yields at 3.90 levels.7) King US Dollar dethroned below 102 levels.# Long story short: Traders have mostly raised hopes for an economic soft landing.

#Pre_Market_Report: 13-Dec-2023The US and Asian markets are trading in the green as the US CPI data (3.10%) aligns with expectations. There's a further cool-off in US bond yields, with 10-yr US Treasury yields trading below 4.20%. The FOMC outcome and the tone of the FED members on rate cuts are crucial points to watch.📈 #FIIs bought for #76 Cr in Cash📈 #DIIs bought for #1900 Cr in CashIn Futures, FIIs continue to build longs with 60% on the long side and 40% on the short side. The FII activity in Options is also positive.#nifty50 : The index closed 90 points (or 0.43% 🔻) lower at 20906 yesterday. The fall in the index, coupled with FIIs building longs, should be seen as consolidation, and the market appears to be preparing for the next level of the rally. I maintain a #bullish stance on the index, with a positional Stop Loss below 20750 levels. Given that US CPI is in line with expectations, markets are likely to bounce today. The range for Nifty remains 20850 to 21080 levels for intraday trading.#banknifty : The index closed 216 points (or 0.46% 🔻) lower at 47097 yesterday. Slight profit booking is seen in banking stocks. The trading range discussed yesterday was 47100 to 47600 levels. During the live market, the index took support multiple times near the 47100 levels before finally breaking down and closing below that level. Given the ongoing events (US CPI and FOMC), the price action is understandable. The only cause for concern is that markets closed near the day's low yesterday. I continue the positive stance on the index, with an intraday range of 46950 to 47400 levels. See the attached chart for more levels.Hit that like button 👍 if you find this analysis helpful.Follow me (Vamsi Vms) to be market-ready every day! 📊#MarketUpdate #FinancialMarkets #TradingAnalysis #Stocks #FIIInvestment #NiftyAnalysis #BankNifty #IntradayTrading #USCPI #FOMCDecision

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All eyes are on US CPI data to answer a single question: how many Fed rate cuts are too few for stock markets’ comfort?#cpi #inflation #stockmarket #stocks #interestrates #fed #dollar #macro #trading https://lnkd.in/gprmywSY

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Market Recap - 7/12US stock market futures are slightly higher ahead of the June CPI (consumer price index) number. The CPI is said to be released at 8:30 AM on Thursday and is expected to be light. Meaning that the number will come in less than expected, giving Traders hope that the Fed will continue to pause interest rate hikes for the time being. This week also ushers in the start of earning season so Traders and investors will be watching bank earnings carefully as the big banks like JP Morgan $JPM and Bank of America $BAC are usually the first to report.---#DAS #NASDAQ

TODAY'S TRADING CALLS (2-11-2023)Global market cues are positive and GIFT NF trading higher by 151 points at 19212.US Fed holds rates steady, upgrades assessmentof economic growth.Rate hike expectations drop sharply post the Fed meetings.One big event is out of the system, and didn’t bring any shock which is good.US 10 year bond yield has started to fall from 5% to 4.71% and US markets witnessed some relief rally.Tatamotors numbers today and its going to be important for Auto sector stocks.Weekly expiry played out yesterday too and Nifty and bank nifty ended at the lowest point.Today its nifty weekly options expiry and the market is expecting a short covering and a highest closing, the opposite of yesterday.IT sector can be in action due to short covering.Nifty 19250 is going to be the nearest resistance and above that 19455, 20 DMA is the next rest.Bank nifty 200 DMA of 43192 is going to be a crucial point today for bulls and bears.Sign up NowLog on tohttps://signup.oroboro.in/Website:-https://wealth.oroboro.in/App:-https://lnkd.in/fEdtpCq...Email us:-hello@oroboro.inCustomers reach Us :- +91 - 91 888 35 444#stockmarket#investment#sharemarket#srocktrading#stockbroking#trading

*Market kya lagta hain – Wednesday, February 28th 2024*# GIFT Nifty (+53, 22246)# Well, the positive takeaway from yesterday’s trading session was that the benchmark Nifty recouped Monday’s losses and ended on higher positive note. Most importantly, Nifty snapped two-days losing streak.# Well, going forward, Nifty is likely to be in a holding pattern.# We say so, because - it will all be about Thursday’s release of the January US Personal Consumption and Expenditures (PCE) index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation that tracks consumer spending.# Honestly speaking, the key PCE inflation data could suggest the narrative of when and by how much the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates this year.# Long story short: All in all, we still suspect, the prevailing trend for inflation is lower. # Meanwhile, volatility is likely to be hallmark of this week’s trading amidst monthly expiry of February F&O contracts scheduled on February 29.*WHAT TECHNICALS TELLS US ON NIFTY & BANK NIFTY:**NIFTY (CMP 22198):*# Intraday support is placed at 22037# Immediate RESISTANCE is at 22350 mark.# RANGE for the day: 22100-22350# BIAS is Positive. *BANK NIFTY (CMP 46588):*# Intraday support is placed at 46226 mark.# Bank Nifty’s biggest RESISTANCE now at 47363 mark.# RANGE for the day: 46300-47000# BIAS is Positive.# The Nifty options data suggests Nifty is likely to be in a trading range of 21500-22500 zone. Maximum Call OI is at 23000 followed by 22500 strike prices. So, the 22500 mark is now Nifty’s crucial resistance zone. Maximum Put open interest stands at 21500 levels followed by 22000 levels. So, the 21500 mark is now Nifty’s biggest support zone.Call writing was seen at 22800 and then at 22500 strike price, while there was meaningful Put writing at 21500 and then at 22000 strike prices.# The Volatility index has cooled to 15.92 levelsLong story short: The inter-month gyan mantra is to stay aggressive bullish as the sentimental, fundamental and technical analysis still suggest the FOMO should drive the king Nifty 22500 mark.

Treasuries Whipsaw Post-Payrolls; Curve Steepens Before AuctionsBy Edward Bolingbroke(Bloomberg) -- Choppy price action was seen in Treasuries following a mixed February jobs report with a headline beat and lower revisions. On the day the curve steepened while front-end rallied, although both spreads and outright moves were unwound over the US afternoon session. Options activity was robust on the day as focus turns to next week’s CPI data.US 2-year yields were down by around 2bp shortly after 3pm New York with long-end of the curve cheaper by roughly 1.5bp — front- and belly outperformance held, although spreads ended off extremes but remained steeper by 2.5bp and 3bp across 2s10s and 5s30sMost of the price action was seen over US morning session with focus on the downward revisions in the jobs report, which saw Treasuries initially rally and the curve steepen sharply. Into the rally 2-year yields dropped as low as 4.405% while 10-year yields dropped below 4.04% before ending around 4.09% and back to near unchanged on the dayAfter jobs report block buy in 10-year note futures added to gains, while a block sale in 2-year note futures later on weighed on front-end and helped see yields climb from near session lowsIn options, flows included a large buyer of a bearish weekly put spread, targeting 10-year yield as high as 4.25% by next Wednesday, covering Tuesday’s CPI data while in SOFR options stand-out flows included a higher-for-longer play via May put spreadsSteepening held on the day with a view into next week’s supply which includes 10- and 30-year auctions over Tuesday and Wednesday, along with an expected busy front-loaded corporate issuance slate#Bloomberg #US #Treasuries #MFT #MATTFINANCIALTRADING

Chart of the dayGiven that the YTD rally is driven entirely by the change in multiple, one has to wonder how long that multiple can hold fort alongside downward earnings revisions. All this whilst the FED allows assets to run off its balance sheet i.e. QT and remains hawkish in its mission to bring core CPI back down to 2% in the face of a heated labour market. US stocks have only been above 20x twice before, both times during bubbles fuelled by excess liquidity. It makes it hard to believe that this time will be any different

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As we approach the long weekend, markets have been shaken by sticky inflation news via upside surprises on CPI and PPI numbers this week. The one consistent take away: don't fight the Fed! Honestly they did say they would wait and see. Could we be near the inflection point where crowded markets turn? Could smaller, strong companies have a chance to finally shine?https://lnkd.in/eEazbadw#marketwatch #marketanalysis #marketcommentary

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MARKET UPDATES🇪🇺/🇺🇸EUR/USDEUR/USD extends pullback from three-week-old resistance, eyes on 1.0950, EU/US staticsEUR/USD takes offers to refresh intraday low during two-day losing streak. Euro sellers remain hopeful as bearish MACD signals, previous support break join failure to cross immediate resistance line. 50% Fibonacci retracement limits intraday fall while 100-DMA is the key support to watch during further downside.🇬🇧/🇺🇸GBP/USDGBP/USD justifies downbeat UK retail spending to reverse from 50-SMA to 1.2750GBP/USD takes offers to refresh the intraday low near 1.2755, posting the first daily loss in three amid early Tuesday in Europe. The Cable pair justifies downbeat UK data while reversing from the 50-SMA within a three-week-old bearish channel.🇺🇸/🇯🇵USD/JPYUSD/JPY recaptures 143.00 amid fresh US Dollar buyingUSD/JPY is extending gains beyond 143.00, building on the previous day's goodish rebound from mid-141.00s early Tuesday. The pair benefits from souring risk sentiment-driven broad US Dollar demand and mixed Japanese data. 🇦🇺/🇺🇸AUD/USDAUD/USD remains pressured toward 0.6500 after mixed China's trade dataAUD/USD is trading under decent selling pressure, eyeing 0.6500 early Tuesday. The pair is weighed down by a renewed US Dollar strength, in the face of hawkish Fed commentary and a negative shift in the market sentiment. Australian sentiment and mixed Chinese trade data fail to impress the Aussie. 🇳🇿/🇺🇸NZD/USD NZD/USD keeps the red below 0.6100 on stronger USD, reacts little to Chinese trade dataNZD/USD comes under some renewed selling pressure on Tuesday amid a modest USD strength. Bets for more Fed rate hikes remain supportive of elevated US bond yields and underpin the buck. The mixed Trade Balance data from China fails to impress bulls or provide any impetus to the pair.🇺🇸/🇨🇦USD/CADUSD/CAD retreats from 100-DMA surrounding 1.3400 but stays on bull’s radarUSD/CAD stays depressed near 1.3370 after reversing from the highest level in two months the previous day. The Loonie pair snapped a four-day uptrend the previous day before posting a lackluster start to the Asian session on Tuesday.🥇XAU/USDGold downside remains compelling whilst below 50 DMA Gold price is extending the previous decline toward the three-week low of $1,926 early Tuesday. A fresh risk-aversion wave seems to be acting as a tailwind, reviving the safe-haven demand for the United States Dollar (USD), as traders eagerly await China’s and US inflation data for a fresh directional impetus in the XAU/USD price.🛢OILOil retreats from a four-month high to near $81.70, US/Chinese inflation data eyedWestern Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around the $81.70 mark so far on Tuesday. WTI loses traction after six straight weekly gains. The Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' hawkish remarks are supporting the decline in WTI prices.